10 things, of which the mobile phone after 2010 will be capable ofof 10 things, of which the mobile phone after 2010
Over the last ten years will be capable, the mobile phone was transformed to such electronic device without which it is difficult to present modern life. Phone is capable to photograph, record video, to send e-mails, to play back music, television and to specify the direction of the movement.
Two years ago the leading analysts of the mobile industry declared that the mark of 3 billion users of mobile devices will be reached only in 2010. Today we can tell with confidence that the mark of 3 billion owners of phones will be reached already by the end of the current year.
With development of the networks of the third generation (which are also called by 3G networks), more and more people will become owners of mobile phones and to get access to services, using high-speed connections, for example mobile television or the high-speed Internet. A web - the website CNET News. com, after consultations with leading experts, made the list of ten things of which ordinary mobile phones after approach of 2010 will be capable.
1. Phone as wallet
New " technology; Near - Field Communications “ or in abbreviated form NFC, is capable to turn the ordinary mobile phone into a credit or debit card. To pay purchase by means of the built-in NFC chip, it is enough to put phone on a special, sensitive surface or to carry out by him at distance to several centimeters near NFC - the reader. Money will be instantly withdrawn from the bank account or brought on credit.
Unlike the " technology; Radio Frequency Identification “ or RFID which is also intended for contactless payments, NFC allows to make a two-way communication. For example, phone with NFC can demand input of PIN - a code for removal of money from the account.
Today payments by means of NFC are tested in such countries as the USA, Germany, Finland and the Netherlands. The technology was already widely adopted in Japan. Japanese by means of the phones pay purchases in shops, pay for travel and buy gasoline.
Nokia is also interested in this technology. The Finnish company let out only one NFC so far - Nokia 6131 NFC phone which was shown at the CES 2007 exhibition (Consumer Electronics Show 2007) in January of this year, but in the future the line of products Nokia with NFC considerably to extend. At present Nokia 6131 NFC is tested by the mobile operator AT &T in New - York.
The people studying NFC consider that the technology can be used not only for payment of retail transactions. NFC is also capable to read out information from the business cards equipped with NFC chips or to be used for booking of a plane ticket or the place on a concert.
2. The Internet in a pocket concerning the fact that the Internet on mobile phones will become the habitual phenomenon slowly but surely are realized by
of the Promise of producers of the software for mobile phones and producers of mobile phones. More and more phones begin to be completed with full-fledged HTML - browsers, relieving mobile users of need to use WAP - the websites which are far not so convenient and not so beautiful as habitual to the PC user of HTML - browsers.
While browsers like mobile version of Opera complete lishnebolshy quantity of models of phones presented at the market - generally these devices are smartphones and communicators. In future HTML - will even be completed with browsers inexpensive “ mass “ phones. For example, not so long ago the Motorola company declared desire to build in HTML - the browser popular devices of the RAZR series.
What means mass embedding of HTML - browsers in all released mobile phones? Promoting online - communities and, as a result, increase in their quantity and growth of number of their participants will become result. The cell phones in comparison with computers having Internet connection have one indisputable advantage - mobility. It is possible to write the message or to place the photo in any place and at any time. According to the estimates of the research company ABI Research, in December of last year about 50 million. the person came on communities by means of mobile phones. The ABI Research company predicts that in 2011 mobile phones for calling on communities will regularly use already 174 million people.
3. Determination of location
According to the decree of the Federal commission of communication of the USA (Federal Communications Commission, FCC), mobile operators have to be able to define locations of people on a case when they call in service of rescue by telephone 911. Many mobile phones sold in the territory of the USA are already equipped with chips of global system of positioning (Global Positioning System, GPS). Except determination of location in case of emergency, such chips can serve also for definition of an arrangement of various organizations and establishments or the direction of the movement.
The most widespread function now will also be in the future the indication of the direction of the movement. The satellite defines the current position of the user and the mobile phone instructions as well as where it is necessary to move, in the form of voice hints or graphics begin to be displayed.
This service in the territory of the USA so far is offered by two mobile operators - Verizon Wireless and Sprint Nextel. The cost of a monthly subscription to the Verizon Wireless service costs $9. 99, and the Sprint Nextel service is free at the conclusion of some types of contracts.
The GPS technology - navigation can be used and as a search engine. For example, having typed the word " in the navigation appendix; " pizza; the list of the next local institutions in which menu there is a pizza will be displayed. The IAC/InterActiveCorp conglomerate owning more the 60th the largest a web - the websites, declared desire to combine the website - search engine of Ask. com with GPS - navigation. When it occurs, mobile users can find the shops which are located nearby, services and friends. Sprint Nextel will support this system. IAC/InterActiveCorp plans to arrive similarly with Ticketmaster. com and Match. com.
Such operators as Boost, Helio and Disney Mobile already began to offer similar services. But after 2010 the accuracy of such systems it will be incomparable above, than now. And mass character before 2010 for this technology should not be expected.
4. Mobile search
Mobile search engines will become standard applications on all mobile phones in the next three years. Search engines will be available directly from the main screen of the user interface. The separate button for start of the search engine will be built in cases of some phones. For example, Alltel Wireless in April declared that the " function; JumpTap “ will be available for the LG VX8600 mobile phone. Recently announced Samsung E950 already possesses the " button; Yahoo! Search “.
The Helio Ocean smartphone is also equipped with search function. That to start it, it is enough to open QWERTY - the keyboard, to hammer the word into search engine and to press the Enter key. Search results with Google, will be given to Yahoo and Wikipedia immediately.
5. Television on the run
Boom mobile the television in all its manifestations will occur literally in several years. IMS Research believes that in 2011 only in the USA there will be more than 30 million mobile users who are actively using services of mobile television. According to IMS Research, in 2011 70 million phones supporting reception of mobile television will be delivered to the USA.
Mobile users will get broad access as to traditional content which is created by the professional companies, and to content created by ordinary users.
Displays of phones will become some kind of “ continuation “ displays of ordinary TVs and home computers. What it is impossible to look in a house situation at is possible to watch by means of the mobile phone. Sling Media, for example, already offers users an opportunity to watch home television on smartphones and communicators with Windows Mobile.
Four largest cable TV companies Comcast, Time Warner, Cox Communications and Advance/Newhouse Communications work with Sprint Nextel in order that more and more telecasts were available on phones.
In the USA there comes the MediaFlo technology which is developed by Qualcomm. The Qualcomm company concluded agreements with the leading mobile operators of the USA (Verizon Wireless and AT &T) concerning adaptation of technology in the market. In Europe the DVB standard - H is generally used.
Experts of the industry consider that the real start will give to approach of mobile television rise of the Olympic Games in Beijing which will take place in the summer of the next year. Mobile operators are sure that people will watch live broadcasts from the Olympic Games on the phones.
6. Improvement of ergonomics: usability
of the Majority of us knows that to start any application or to come into the necessary option, it is necessary to make many clicks on phone keyboard. However mobile phone manufacturers and mobile operators try to make the interface more friendly in relation to the user.
Entering shortly the Apple iPhone market is a fine example of phone with the convenient interface. Admirers of production of Apple are sure that the iPhone interface will turn out same successful as the iPod interface.
Already now it is possible to tell that the Apple iPhone is remarkable the touch display which reacts to pressing of fingers. The device is capable to focus automatically the picture depending on an angle of rotation - from horizontal position on vertical and vice versa. This function can be useful when viewing video, photos and a web - surfing.
In the future many phones will be equipped with situation sensors, like those that are used in the Nintendo Wii console. Such technology will allow to serfit the Internet or to come into the menu of the device by means of easy waves of a hand.
According to Ryan Hughes (Ryan Hughes), vice-the president of Digital Media Programming, Verizon Wireless, shortly users will be able independently to change the list of appendices which is settling down on the main screen. Motorola declared that owners of RAZR 2 will not have any problems by search of the necessary person in the list of contacts, an applications launch and communication. How interaction of the person with the interface - still not clearly will be simplified.
7. “ Clever “ mobile networks A number of modern phones supports by
networks of different standards. It allows owners of devices to travel carefree all over the world with one device in a pocket. In the future as a certain standard, Wi modules - Fi which will be automatically connected to all points of access which will be in their zone of reach will be built in phones.
T-Mobile USA experiments over this service within several last months in the American city of Seattle. Service carries the name HotSpot @Home and is supposed that it will be started in all territory of the USA this summer. For automatic switching of connection from a mobile network on Wi - Fi will be used the UMA technology (Unlicensed Mobile Access). The monthly monthly fee for HotSpot @Home will make $20. Talk by means of Wi - Fi will be free. In total T - Mobile USA hopes to capture not less than 8 000 public points of access of Wi - Fi, plus any points of access located in houses of ordinary Americans.
8. On a base station of GSM - to each house
Many of mobile users came up against such situation when the mobile phone which is perfectly catching a cellular network on the street cannot find it in any room. This problem is known to mobile operators, and they offer the next way of its decision - home base cellular stations which are also known as Femto Cell (“ femto - a sota “) .
Compact Femto Cell work also as well as the usual stations covering the big areas. Femto Cell needs to be connected to high-speed IP - networks.
As Femto Cell are rigidly attached to separately taken mobile operators in connection with their concrete frequency ranges, upon transition from one operator to another, base stations should be changed.
Developments like Femto Cell did not interest mobile operators in the USA yet. But in Europe in February of this year Femto Cell presented two companies at once - 3Way to Networks from Great Britain and Ericsson from Sweden.
9. Ideal pictures
One of the most considerable changes in the mobile industry was embedding in phones of modules of the digital camera. According to the latest data, 41% of the American families have at least one cameraphone, phone with the built-in camera. In the future all phones will possess chambers, even now in the market it is quite difficult to meet the device without it.
According to the estimates of analysts of Gartner, in 2010 1 billion mobile phones with chambers will be around the world sold. The quantity of the sold cameraphones in the current year will make about 589 million devices.
There are no doubts that technologies of modules of digital cameras for phones will constantly develop and in the future phones, for example, with 8 - megapixel cameras will be quite everyday occurrences.
William Plummer (William Plummer), vice-the president on work with channels and sales of multimedia production of Nokia in North America, declared that in several years mobile users will also be able to edit the pictures as it is done now by owners of digital cameras of the class high - end and PC users.
Video telephony will also be supported by most of producers and mobile operators. Analysts of Forrester`s Golvin are sure that in the future all mobile phones will be equipped with two chambers. One will be intended for high-quality to a photo - and video filming, and another - for video telephony and other additional functions, for example reading a stroke - codes.
Mobile applications for reading a stroke - codes are widespread in Japan and are already applied in printing editions. Instead of writing down manually a contact information or addresses a web - the websites, it is enough to carry out by phone over the paper page, and all necessary information will be right there brought in memory of the device. A stroke - codes can be also applied on business cards.
10. Music around
Is not present doubts that mobile music is in demand, and in the future more and more people will use mobile phones as musical players.
According to Gartner, in 2010 mobile users will spend for acquisition of musical compositions for the phones not less than $32 billion, it depends in $2007-13. 7 billion Gartner mean ringtones, realtones, a ring by musical compositions - bek tones and full-size compositions. Musical services in all of them manifestations are mobile services, the second for popularity and profitability. Ahead of them only the SMS - services. As reports Gartner, in two years the greatest profit will be made by full-size musical compositions, and Apple will play in it not the last role.
The Apple iPhone did not go on sale yet, but already all idolize it. The device combining functions of the most popular musical player in the world of iPod and function of the smartphone will appear on counters of the USA on June 29 and will be available only in AT &T and Apple shops. In spite of the fact that some critics note absence at iPhone of support of networks of the third generation, phone all the same is the ideal device from the point of view of musical functionality.
All largest mobile phone manufacturers possess musical phones which are capable to compete to iPhone. Sony Ericsson has a range Walkman, Motorola has Rokr, Z8 and MotoQ phones, and RIM have new BlackBerry 8300 Curve supporting a stereo the Bluetooth profiles.
After approach of 2010 mobile music most likely will remain former. There will be only the fact that the difference between ordinary phones and phones with the advanced musical opportunities will be erased, and, eventually, will become hardly visible. Mobile operators and content - providers will reduce most likely the cost of services in order that services were available to bigger number of people and to increase volumes of the bought compositions. And, as expected, digital protection (Digital Rights Management, DRM) in several years at last will stop the existence.
Source: CNET News. com, author: Marguerite Reardon
© Translation. Evgeny Makarov, 2007, especially for Cyberstyle. ru
© Cyberstyle. ru, 2007